/** * A simple set of functions to check our version 1.0 update service. * * @package WordPress * @since 2.3.0 */ /** * Check WordPress version against the newest version. * * The WordPress version, PHP version, and Locale is sent. Checks against the * WordPress server at api.wordpress.org server. Will only check if WordPress * isn't installing. * * @since 2.3.0 * @uses $wp_version Used to check against the newest WordPress version. * * @param array $extra_stats Extra statistics to report to the WordPress.org API. * @param bool $force_check Whether to bypass the transient cache and force a fresh update check. Defaults to false, true if $extra_stats is set. * @return mixed Returns null if update is unsupported. Returns false if check is too soon. */ function wp_version_check( $extra_stats = array(), $force_check = false ) { if ( defined('WP_INSTALLING') ) return; global $wpdb, $wp_local_package; include( ABSPATH . WPINC . '/version.php' ); // include an unmodified $wp_version $php_version = phpversion(); $current = get_site_transient( 'update_core' ); $translations = wp_get_installed_translations( 'core' ); // Invalidate the transient when $wp_version changes if ( is_object( $current ) && $wp_version != $current->version_checked ) $current = false; if ( ! is_object($current) ) { $current = new stdClass; $current->updates = array(); $current->version_checked = $wp_version; } if ( ! empty( $extra_stats ) ) $force_check = true; // Wait 60 seconds between multiple version check requests $timeout = 60; $time_not_changed = isset( $current->last_checked ) && $timeout > ( time() - $current->last_checked ); if ( ! $force_check && $time_not_changed ) return false; $locale = get_locale(); /** * Filter the locale requested for WordPress core translations. * * @since 2.8.0 * * @param string $locale Current locale. */ $locale = apply_filters( 'core_version_check_locale', $locale ); // Update last_checked for current to prevent multiple blocking requests if request hangs $current->last_checked = time(); set_site_transient( 'update_core', $current ); if ( method_exists( $wpdb, 'db_version' ) ) $mysql_version = preg_replace('/[^0-9.].*/', '', $wpdb->db_version()); else $mysql_version = 'N/A'; if ( is_multisite() ) { $user_count = get_user_count(); $num_blogs = get_blog_count(); $wp_install = network_site_url(); $multisite_enabled = 1; } else { $user_count = count_users(); $user_count = $user_count['total_users']; $multisite_enabled = 0; $num_blogs = 1; $wp_install = home_url( '/' ); } $query = array( 'version' => $wp_version, 'php' => $php_version, 'locale' => $locale, 'mysql' => $mysql_version, 'local_package' => isset( $wp_local_package ) ? $wp_local_package : '', 'blogs' => $num_blogs, 'users' => $user_count, 'multisite_enabled' => $multisite_enabled, ); $post_body = array( 'translations' => json_encode( $translations ), ); if ( is_array( $extra_stats ) ) $post_body = array_merge( $post_body, $extra_stats ); $url = $http_url = 'http://api.wordpress.org/core/version-check/1.7/?' . http_build_query( $query, null, '&' ); if ( $ssl = wp_http_supports( array( 'ssl' ) ) ) $url = set_url_scheme( $url, 'https' ); $options = array( 'timeout' => ( ( defined('DOING_CRON') && DOING_CRON ) ? 30 : 3 ), 'user-agent' => 'WordPress/' . $wp_version . '; ' . home_url( '/' ), 'headers' => array( 'wp_install' => $wp_install, 'wp_blog' => home_url( '/' ) ), 'body' => $post_body, ); $response = wp_remote_post( $url, $options ); if ( $ssl && is_wp_error( $response ) ) { trigger_error( __( 'An unexpected error occurred. Something may be wrong with WordPress.org or this server’s configuration. If you continue to have problems, please try the support forums.' ) . ' ' . __( '(WordPress could not establish a secure connection to WordPress.org. Please contact your server administrator.)' ), headers_sent() || WP_DEBUG ? E_USER_WARNING : E_USER_NOTICE ); $response = wp_remote_post( $http_url, $options ); } if ( is_wp_error( $response ) || 200 != wp_remote_retrieve_response_code( $response ) ) return false; $body = trim( wp_remote_retrieve_body( $response ) ); $body = json_decode( $body, true ); if ( ! is_array( $body ) || ! isset( $body['offers'] ) ) return false; $offers = $body['offers']; foreach ( $offers as &$offer ) { foreach ( $offer as $offer_key => $value ) { if ( 'packages' == $offer_key ) $offer['packages'] = (object) array_intersect_key( array_map( 'esc_url', $offer['packages'] ), array_fill_keys( array( 'full', 'no_content', 'new_bundled', 'partial', 'rollback' ), '' ) ); elseif ( 'download' == $offer_key ) $offer['download'] = esc_url( $value ); else $offer[ $offer_key ] = esc_html( $value ); } $offer = (object) array_intersect_key( $offer, array_fill_keys( array( 'response', 'download', 'locale', 'packages', 'current', 'version', 'php_version', 'mysql_version', 'new_bundled', 'partial_version', 'notify_email', 'support_email' ), '' ) ); } $updates = new stdClass(); $updates->updates = $offers; $updates->last_checked = time(); $updates->version_checked = $wp_version; if ( isset( $body['translations'] ) ) $updates->translations = $body['translations']; set_site_transient( 'update_core', $updates ); if ( ! empty( $body['ttl'] ) ) { $ttl = (int) $body['ttl']; if ( $ttl && ( time() + $ttl < wp_next_scheduled( 'wp_version_check' ) ) ) { // Queue an event to re-run the update check in $ttl seconds. wp_schedule_single_event( time() + $ttl, 'wp_version_check' ); } } // Trigger a background updates check if running non-interactively, and we weren't called from the update handler. if ( defined( 'DOING_CRON' ) && DOING_CRON && ! doing_action( 'wp_maybe_auto_update' ) ) { do_action( 'wp_maybe_auto_update' ); } } /** * Check plugin versions against the latest versions hosted on WordPress.org. * * The WordPress version, PHP version, and Locale is sent along with a list of * all plugins installed. Checks against the WordPress server at * api.wordpress.org. Will only check if WordPress isn't installing. * * @since 2.3.0 * @uses $wp_version Used to notify the WordPress version. * * @param array $extra_stats Extra statistics to report to the WordPress.org API. * @return mixed Returns null if update is unsupported. Returns false if check is too soon. */ function wp_update_plugins( $extra_stats = array() ) { include( ABSPATH . WPINC . '/version.php' ); // include an unmodified $wp_version if ( defined('WP_INSTALLING') ) return false; // If running blog-side, bail unless we've not checked in the last 12 hours if ( !function_exists( 'get_plugins' ) ) require_once( ABSPATH . 'wp-admin/includes/plugin.php' ); $plugins = get_plugins(); $translations = wp_get_installed_translations( 'plugins' ); $active = get_option( 'active_plugins', array() ); $current = get_site_transient( 'update_plugins' ); if ( ! is_object($current) ) $current = new stdClass; $new_option = new stdClass; $new_option->last_checked = time(); // Check for update on a different schedule, depending on the page. switch ( current_filter() ) { case 'upgrader_process_complete' : $timeout = 0; break; case 'load-update-core.php' : $timeout = MINUTE_IN_SECONDS; break; case 'load-plugins.php' : case 'load-update.php' : $timeout = HOUR_IN_SECONDS; break; default : if ( defined( 'DOING_CRON' ) && DOING_CRON ) { $timeout = 0; } else { $timeout = 12 * HOUR_IN_SECONDS; } } $time_not_changed = isset( $current->last_checked ) && $timeout > ( time() - $current->last_checked ); if ( $time_not_changed && ! $extra_stats ) { $plugin_changed = false; foreach ( $plugins as $file => $p ) { $new_option->checked[ $file ] = $p['Version']; if ( !isset( $current->checked[ $file ] ) || strval($current->checked[ $file ]) !== strval($p['Version']) ) $plugin_changed = true; } if ( isset ( $current->response ) && is_array( $current->response ) ) { foreach ( $current->response as $plugin_file => $update_details ) { if ( ! isset($plugins[ $plugin_file ]) ) { $plugin_changed = true; break; } } } // Bail if we've checked recently and if nothing has changed if ( ! $plugin_changed ) return false; } // Update last_checked for current to prevent multiple blocking requests if request hangs $current->last_checked = time(); set_site_transient( 'update_plugins', $current ); $to_send = compact( 'plugins', 'active' ); $locales = array( get_locale() ); /** * Filter the locales requested for plugin translations. * * @since 3.7.0 * * @param array $locales Plugin locale. Default is current locale of the site. */ $locales = apply_filters( 'plugins_update_check_locales', $locales ); if ( defined( 'DOING_CRON' ) && DOING_CRON ) { $timeout = 30; } else { // Three seconds, plus one extra second for every 10 plugins $timeout = 3 + (int) ( count( $plugins ) / 10 ); } $options = array( 'timeout' => $timeout, 'body' => array( 'plugins' => json_encode( $to_send ), 'translations' => json_encode( $translations ), 'locale' => json_encode( $locales ), 'all' => json_encode( true ), ), 'user-agent' => 'WordPress/' . $wp_version . '; ' . get_bloginfo( 'url' ) ); if ( $extra_stats ) { $options['body']['update_stats'] = json_encode( $extra_stats ); } $url = $http_url = 'http://api.wordpress.org/plugins/update-check/1.1/'; if ( $ssl = wp_http_supports( array( 'ssl' ) ) ) $url = set_url_scheme( $url, 'https' ); $raw_response = wp_remote_post( $url, $options ); if ( $ssl && is_wp_error( $raw_response ) ) { trigger_error( __( 'An unexpected error occurred. Something may be wrong with WordPress.org or this server’s configuration. If you continue to have problems, please try the support forums.' ) . ' ' . __( '(WordPress could not establish a secure connection to WordPress.org. Please contact your server administrator.)' ), headers_sent() || WP_DEBUG ? E_USER_WARNING : E_USER_NOTICE ); $raw_response = wp_remote_post( $http_url, $options ); } if ( is_wp_error( $raw_response ) || 200 != wp_remote_retrieve_response_code( $raw_response ) ) return false; $response = json_decode( wp_remote_retrieve_body( $raw_response ), true ); foreach ( $response['plugins'] as &$plugin ) { $plugin = (object) $plugin; } unset( $plugin ); foreach ( $response['no_update'] as &$plugin ) { $plugin = (object) $plugin; } unset( $plugin ); if ( is_array( $response ) ) { $new_option->response = $response['plugins']; $new_option->translations = $response['translations']; // TODO: Perhaps better to store no_update in a separate transient with an expiry? $new_option->no_update = $response['no_update']; } else { $new_option->response = array(); $new_option->translations = array(); $new_option->no_update = array(); } set_site_transient( 'update_plugins', $new_option ); } /** * Check theme versions against the latest versions hosted on WordPress.org. * * A list of all themes installed in sent to WP. Checks against the * WordPress server at api.wordpress.org. Will only check if WordPress isn't * installing. * * @since 2.7.0 * @uses $wp_version Used to notify the WordPress version. * * @param array $extra_stats Extra statistics to report to the WordPress.org API. * @return mixed Returns null if update is unsupported. Returns false if check is too soon. */ function wp_update_themes( $extra_stats = array() ) { include( ABSPATH . WPINC . '/version.php' ); // include an unmodified $wp_version if ( defined( 'WP_INSTALLING' ) ) return false; $installed_themes = wp_get_themes(); $translations = wp_get_installed_translations( 'themes' ); $last_update = get_site_transient( 'update_themes' ); if ( ! is_object($last_update) ) $last_update = new stdClass; $themes = $checked = $request = array(); // Put slug of current theme into request. $request['active'] = get_option( 'stylesheet' ); foreach ( $installed_themes as $theme ) { $checked[ $theme->get_stylesheet() ] = $theme->get('Version'); $themes[ $theme->get_stylesheet() ] = array( 'Name' => $theme->get('Name'), 'Title' => $theme->get('Name'), 'Version' => $theme->get('Version'), 'Author' => $theme->get('Author'), 'Author URI' => $theme->get('AuthorURI'), 'Template' => $theme->get_template(), 'Stylesheet' => $theme->get_stylesheet(), ); } // Check for update on a different schedule, depending on the page. switch ( current_filter() ) { case 'upgrader_process_complete' : $timeout = 0; break; case 'load-update-core.php' : $timeout = MINUTE_IN_SECONDS; break; case 'load-themes.php' : case 'load-update.php' : $timeout = HOUR_IN_SECONDS; break; default : if ( defined( 'DOING_CRON' ) && DOING_CRON ) { $timeout = 0; } else { $timeout = 12 * HOUR_IN_SECONDS; } } $time_not_changed = isset( $last_update->last_checked ) && $timeout > ( time() - $last_update->last_checked ); if ( $time_not_changed && ! $extra_stats ) { $theme_changed = false; foreach ( $checked as $slug => $v ) { if ( !isset( $last_update->checked[ $slug ] ) || strval($last_update->checked[ $slug ]) !== strval($v) ) $theme_changed = true; } if ( isset ( $last_update->response ) && is_array( $last_update->response ) ) { foreach ( $last_update->response as $slug => $update_details ) { if ( ! isset($checked[ $slug ]) ) { $theme_changed = true; break; } } } // Bail if we've checked recently and if nothing has changed if ( ! $theme_changed ) return false; } // Update last_checked for current to prevent multiple blocking requests if request hangs $last_update->last_checked = time(); set_site_transient( 'update_themes', $last_update ); $request['themes'] = $themes; $locales = array( get_locale() ); /** * Filter the locales requested for theme translations. * * @since 3.7.0 * * @param array $locales Theme locale. Default is current locale of the site. */ $locales = apply_filters( 'themes_update_check_locales', $locales ); if ( defined( 'DOING_CRON' ) && DOING_CRON ) { $timeout = 30; } else { // Three seconds, plus one extra second for every 10 themes $timeout = 3 + (int) ( count( $themes ) / 10 ); } $options = array( 'timeout' => $timeout, 'body' => array( 'themes' => json_encode( $request ), 'translations' => json_encode( $translations ), 'locale' => json_encode( $locales ), ), 'user-agent' => 'WordPress/' . $wp_version . '; ' . get_bloginfo( 'url' ) ); if ( $extra_stats ) { $options['body']['update_stats'] = json_encode( $extra_stats ); } $url = $http_url = 'http://api.wordpress.org/themes/update-check/1.1/'; if ( $ssl = wp_http_supports( array( 'ssl' ) ) ) $url = set_url_scheme( $url, 'https' ); $raw_response = wp_remote_post( $url, $options ); if ( $ssl && is_wp_error( $raw_response ) ) { trigger_error( __( 'An unexpected error occurred. Something may be wrong with WordPress.org or this server’s configuration. If you continue to have problems, please try the support forums.' ) . ' ' . __( '(WordPress could not establish a secure connection to WordPress.org. Please contact your server administrator.)' ), headers_sent() || WP_DEBUG ? E_USER_WARNING : E_USER_NOTICE ); $raw_response = wp_remote_post( $http_url, $options ); } if ( is_wp_error( $raw_response ) || 200 != wp_remote_retrieve_response_code( $raw_response ) ) return false; $new_update = new stdClass; $new_update->last_checked = time(); $new_update->checked = $checked; $response = json_decode( wp_remote_retrieve_body( $raw_response ), true ); if ( is_array( $response ) ) { $new_update->response = $response['themes']; $new_update->translations = $response['translations']; } set_site_transient( 'update_themes', $new_update ); } /** * Performs WordPress automatic background updates. * * @since 3.7.0 */ function wp_maybe_auto_update() { include_once( ABSPATH . '/wp-admin/includes/admin.php' ); include_once( ABSPATH . '/wp-admin/includes/class-wp-upgrader.php' ); $upgrader = new WP_Automatic_Updater; $upgrader->run(); } /** * Retrieves a list of all language updates available. * * @since 3.7.0 */ function wp_get_translation_updates() { $updates = array(); $transients = array( 'update_core' => 'core', 'update_plugins' => 'plugin', 'update_themes' => 'theme' ); foreach ( $transients as $transient => $type ) { $transient = get_site_transient( $transient ); if ( empty( $transient->translations ) ) continue; foreach ( $transient->translations as $translation ) { $updates[] = (object) $translation; } } return $updates; } /** * Collect counts and UI strings for available updates * * @since 3.3.0 * * @return array */ function wp_get_update_data() { $counts = array( 'plugins' => 0, 'themes' => 0, 'wordpress' => 0, 'translations' => 0 ); if ( $plugins = current_user_can( 'update_plugins' ) ) { $update_plugins = get_site_transient( 'update_plugins' ); if ( ! empty( $update_plugins->response ) ) $counts['plugins'] = count( $update_plugins->response ); } if ( $themes = current_user_can( 'update_themes' ) ) { $update_themes = get_site_transient( 'update_themes' ); if ( ! empty( $update_themes->response ) ) $counts['themes'] = count( $update_themes->response ); } if ( ( $core = current_user_can( 'update_core' ) ) && function_exists( 'get_core_updates' ) ) { $update_wordpress = get_core_updates( array('dismissed' => false) ); if ( ! empty( $update_wordpress ) && ! in_array( $update_wordpress[0]->response, array('development', 'latest') ) && current_user_can('update_core') ) $counts['wordpress'] = 1; } if ( ( $core || $plugins || $themes ) && wp_get_translation_updates() ) $counts['translations'] = 1; $counts['total'] = $counts['plugins'] + $counts['themes'] + $counts['wordpress'] + $counts['translations']; $titles = array(); if ( $counts['wordpress'] ) $titles['wordpress'] = sprintf( __( '%d WordPress Update'), $counts['wordpress'] ); if ( $counts['plugins'] ) $titles['plugins'] = sprintf( _n( '%d Plugin Update', '%d Plugin Updates', $counts['plugins'] ), $counts['plugins'] ); if ( $counts['themes'] ) $titles['themes'] = sprintf( _n( '%d Theme Update', '%d Theme Updates', $counts['themes'] ), $counts['themes'] ); if ( $counts['translations'] ) $titles['translations'] = __( 'Translation Updates' ); $update_title = $titles ? esc_attr( implode( ', ', $titles ) ) : ''; $update_data = array( 'counts' => $counts, 'title' => $update_title ); /** * Filter the returned array of update data for plugins, themes, and WordPress core. * * @since 3.5.0 * * @param array $update_data { * Fetched update data. * * @type array $counts An array of counts for available plugin, theme, and WordPress updates. * @type string $update_title Titles of available updates. * } * @param array $titles An array of update counts and UI strings for available updates. */ return apply_filters( 'wp_get_update_data', $update_data, $titles ); } function _maybe_update_core() { include( ABSPATH . WPINC . '/version.php' ); // include an unmodified $wp_version $current = get_site_transient( 'update_core' ); if ( isset( $current->last_checked ) && 12 * HOUR_IN_SECONDS > ( time() - $current->last_checked ) && isset( $current->version_checked ) && $current->version_checked == $wp_version ) return; wp_version_check(); } /** * Check the last time plugins were run before checking plugin versions. * * This might have been backported to WordPress 2.6.1 for performance reasons. * This is used for the wp-admin to check only so often instead of every page * load. * * @since 2.7.0 * @access private */ function _maybe_update_plugins() { $current = get_site_transient( 'update_plugins' ); if ( isset( $current->last_checked ) && 12 * HOUR_IN_SECONDS > ( time() - $current->last_checked ) ) return; wp_update_plugins(); } /** * Check themes versions only after a duration of time. * * This is for performance reasons to make sure that on the theme version * checker is not run on every page load. * * @since 2.7.0 * @access private */ function _maybe_update_themes() { $current = get_site_transient( 'update_themes' ); if ( isset( $current->last_checked ) && 12 * HOUR_IN_SECONDS > ( time() - $current->last_checked ) ) return; wp_update_themes(); } /** * Schedule core, theme, and plugin update checks. * * @since 3.1.0 */ function wp_schedule_update_checks() { if ( !wp_next_scheduled('wp_version_check') && !defined('WP_INSTALLING') ) wp_schedule_event(time(), 'twicedaily', 'wp_version_check'); if ( !wp_next_scheduled('wp_update_plugins') && !defined('WP_INSTALLING') ) wp_schedule_event(time(), 'twicedaily', 'wp_update_plugins'); if ( !wp_next_scheduled('wp_update_themes') && !defined('WP_INSTALLING') ) wp_schedule_event(time(), 'twicedaily', 'wp_update_themes'); if ( ( wp_next_scheduled( 'wp_maybe_auto_update' ) > ( time() + HOUR_IN_SECONDS ) ) && ! defined('WP_INSTALLING') ) wp_clear_scheduled_hook( 'wp_maybe_auto_update' ); } if ( ( ! is_main_site() && ! is_network_admin() ) || ( defined( 'DOING_AJAX' ) && DOING_AJAX ) ) return; add_action( 'admin_init', '_maybe_update_core' ); add_action( 'wp_version_check', 'wp_version_check' ); add_action( 'upgrader_process_complete', 'wp_version_check', 10, 0 ); add_action( 'load-plugins.php', 'wp_update_plugins' ); add_action( 'load-update.php', 'wp_update_plugins' ); add_action( 'load-update-core.php', 'wp_update_plugins' ); add_action( 'admin_init', '_maybe_update_plugins' ); add_action( 'wp_update_plugins', 'wp_update_plugins' ); add_action( 'upgrader_process_complete', 'wp_update_plugins', 10, 0 ); add_action( 'load-themes.php', 'wp_update_themes' ); add_action( 'load-update.php', 'wp_update_themes' ); add_action( 'load-update-core.php', 'wp_update_themes' ); add_action( 'admin_init', '_maybe_update_themes' ); add_action( 'wp_update_themes', 'wp_update_themes' ); add_action( 'upgrader_process_complete', 'wp_update_themes', 10, 0 ); add_action( 'wp_maybe_auto_update', 'wp_maybe_auto_update' ); add_action('init', 'wp_schedule_update_checks'); Correa se consolida en EcuadorSesiónDeControl.com
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Correa se consolida en Ecuador


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Pablo Manuel Méndez

Periodista uruguayo. Escribo en Montevideo Portal y Revista Martes . Escribí en Alto Voltaje, Semanario Rumbosur, Crítica de la Argentina y publiqué las investigaciones periodísticas 'Temprana impostura' (2007) y 'En cuanto venga Julio' (2012), ambas de editorial Fin de Siglo.


Escrito el 10 de febrero de 2013 a las 16:59 | Clasificado en Centroamérica

Unos 11,6 millones de ecuatorianos acudirán a las urnas el próximo domingo en lo que será la tercera elección presidencial desde que asumió Rafael Correa. El actual mandatario, que busca la reelección, tiene amplia ventaja sobre los candidatos opositores que no lograron formar un frente único.

Rafael Correa (Fuente: Wikipedia)
Rafael Correa (Fuente: Wikipedia)

El próximo domingo Ecuador elegirá al binomio presidencial y a los integrantes de la Asamblea Nacional, compuesta por 137 miembros. Alianza País, el partido del presidente Rafael Correa, espera ganar en primera vuelta y concretar un nuevo período de gobierno con mayorías parlamentarias.

Para ello, los responsables de imagen del presidente Correa crearon la consigna “Ya tenemos presidente, tenemos a Rafael”, aprovechando el fastidio latente con el proceso electoral y los jingles de campaña. En  los carteles frente al escenario en que Correa realiza sus actos reza: “Sr. Candidato, siga de largo, aquí ya tenemos presidente”.

La ventaja de Correa es abrumadora. La encuesta que peor le da le otorga un 47%, seguido del empresario bancario Guillermo Lasso con sólo un 8%. Además de las buenas cifras que puede presentar el Gobierno, como un desempleo de un 4,2% y un crecimiento del PIB entre el 4% y el 8%, el candidato puede exhibir su capacidad de mando y gobernabilidad, lo que no es menor en un país que ha tenido siete presidentes entre 1997 y 2005.

Por eso, Correa tiene una imagen positiva ante el electorado ecuatoriano, como un hombre que no se deja arrastrar por las presiones de algunos grupos de poder. Aumentó el control de la evasión fiscal, realizó reformas tributarias tendientes a gravar a las grandes empresas y legisló en materia de seguridad laboral, ampliando los derechos de cobro por despido y jubilación.

La oposición al Gobierno critica su gestión, acusándolo de no respetar las libertades individuales, de desmantelar el Poder Judicial con la Reforma aprobada por referéndum en 2010 y de utilizar la infraestructura de gobierno para hacer propaganda política. Es, en cualquier caso, una estrategia poco efectiva si se considera que ninguno de estos aspectos tiene que ver con las principales preocupaciones de los ecuatorianos, centradas en la seguridad, el empleo, la salud y la educación, según indica un estudio realizado en setiembre de 2012 por la consultora Perfiles de Opinión.

Otro de los aspectos que consolidó la ventaja de Correa fue su compromiso público de no aspirar a un nuevo período después de 2017, disolviendo las sospechas de que el mandatario quisiera perpetuarse en el poder. En la interna se habla de Lenin Moreno como su posible sucesor.

La intención de voto

Para estas elecciones se presentan ocho candidatos, aunque  los estudios de opinión pública le dan una intención de voto mayor al 1.5% a sólo cuatro de ellos: el presidente Correa, que alcanza entre el 47% y el 56%, el empresario Guillermo Lasso, con un claro perfil liberal, tiene entre el 8% y el 13%, el expresidente Lucio Gutiérrez, quien fuera derrocado por un levantamiento popular en abril de 2005, con una intención de voto de entre el 1.5% y el 5%, y Alberto Acosta, fundador del partido de gobierno y alejado por considerar que no está realizando las reformas adecuadas, con entre un 1.5% y un 4%.

El favorito

El presidente Rafael Correa comenzó su actividad política como ministro de Economía del gobierno de Alfredo Palacios (2005-2006), cargo al que renunció por discrepancias políticas. En 2006 participó de la fundación Alianza País, partido con el que se presentó a las elecciones de noviembre de ese mismo año, ganando en segunda vuelta, con el 56.6% de los votos.

Al llegar al Gobierno planteó una reforma constitucional que adelantó las elecciones nacionales a 2009, las cuales ganó en primera vuelta con el 51,9%. De confirmarse los pronósticos de las consultoras esta sería la tercera victoria consecutiva de Correa, que permanecería en la presidencia ecuatoriana hasta mayo de 2017, consolidado un período de estabilidad democrática, apenas eclipsado por el intento de golpe de  Estado de la policía, realizado el 30 de setiembre de 2011.

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